Sunday, January 31, 2010
the times they are a-changin' (final fantasy music edition)
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
best paragraph i have read in a while
It is important, I think, to ask whether there are other completely differentways to write constitutional history. The question arises from whatseems to me the essential complacency of American constitutional history:constitutional history assumes the Constitution. Hence one is always withinthe sphere of its possibility. From within, the Constitution appears as aprotean, amoeba-like phenomenon, really an ideology, constitutionalism,not a text “in the National Archives” (for the text is usually an afterthought—interpretation is what counts). So here we encounter no argumentover the Constitution, such as “wheather it is good or not,” butrather over how the assumed promise of the Constitution is properly to berealized, or extended. Noticeably, exit is not an option. So here the questionis whether realization should occur through one ideology (popular constitutionalism)as opposed to another (call it elite juridical constitutionalism).The trope invoked is that of a “world we have lost” that can be ours again.The people have surrendered their constitution to juridical supremacy.They/we must take it back. History legitimates the quest.The genre or mode of constitutional history is romance. In fact,Kramer’s is an interesting variation on the genre, for although the implicationis that a resurgence of popular constitutionalism will make things better,Kramer actually professes no blithe confidence in a positive outcome. Itis up to “us.” This verges on what my colleague Bonnie Honig has dubbed“gothic” romance. One might add that in full gothic mode Kramershould also demonstrate a certain ambivalence, even fear, toward that towhich he is attached. After all, what are “we” going to do with the Constitutiononce we have recovered it? Might we not abuse it? Aren’t “we” infact deeply crosscut by all those persisting socioeconomic antagonisms andcleavages that fragment the possibility that there indeed exists somethingthat we can call “the people” at all? Class, gender, and race are not simplyconveniently imagined categories of scholarly analysis; they are real socialphenomena. How do you construct a “we” out of us and them? How canone know that popular constitutionalism, once it has taken back the Constitution,will not devour its professors? Kramer does not think that thought,or if he does it is only to deny its possibility. His romance of “the people”is almost pre-political in its faith.
Sunday, January 24, 2010
assorted links
The AI crowd, too, was pleased with the result and the attention, but dismayed by the fact that Deep Blue was hardly what their predecessors had imagined decades earlier when they dreamed of creating a machine to defeat the world chess champion. Instead of a computer that thought and played chess like a human, with human creativity and intuition, they got one that played like a machine, systematically evaluating 200 million possible moves on the chess board per second and winning with brute number-crunching force . . . .It was an impressive achievement, of course, and a human achievement by the members of the IBM team, but Deep Blue was only intelligent the way your programmable alarm clock is intelligent. Not that losing to a $10 million alarm clock made me feel any better.
For one thing, I came to understand that the point of literary study is not merely to dole out stars for greatness. For another - you can see how it might be encouraged by an interest in the rhetoric of economics - I realised that literary, philosophical and narrative sciences (those sciences humaines) exhibit forms of knowledge not attainable by first-order predicate logic, or a system of axioms rich enough to contain arithmetic. For still another, I grasped that logics and axioms depend on such knowledge. And out of all this came the gobsmacking insight that language is more than the transmittal of bits of information. Language is a way of being human - the way of being human - a mobile army of metaphors (you might say).
It must have been due to a complex of suitabilities in the doctrine to the envi- ronment into which [classical economics] was projected. That it reached conclusions quite different from what the ordinary uninstructed person would expect added, I suppose, to its intellectual prestige. That its teaching, translated into practice, was austere and often unpalatable, lent it virtue. That it was adapted to carry a vast and logical superstructure, gave it beauty. That it could explain much social injustice and apparent cruelty as an inevitable incident in the scheme of progress, and the attemp to change such things as likely on the whole to do more harm than good, com- mended it to authority. That it afforded a measure of justification to the free activities of the individual capitalist, attracted to it the support of the dominant social force behind authority.
Saturday, January 23, 2010
biggest upset in character battle viii so far goes to...
Sunday, January 17, 2010
consumption spending and health care
While the consumption spike may look like the result of an accounting convention, it’s also reflecting a sad reality: an enormous, and ever-increasing share of our national income is going to health care. Of course, some unquantifiable share of that spending makes people healthier, happier, and more productive. But much of it doesn’t. In economic jargon, it’s a deadweight loss. As the graph above shows, the U.S. devotes a far larger share of its national income to health care than any other country: 37% more than the second-biggest spender, France; 49% more than Canada; 68% more than Sweden; 87% more than the UK. Yet U.S. health indicators are consistently among the worst in the OECD, with terrible ratings on life expectancy, infant mortality, obesity, and mental health. U.S. readings on all these are worse than countries spending far less on health care.
Saturday, January 16, 2010
new yorker interviews gene fama?
Many people would argue that, in this case, the inefficiency was primarily in the credit markets, not the stock market—that there was a credit bubble that inflated and ultimately burst.
I don’t even know what that means. People who get credit have to get it from somewhere. Does a credit bubble mean that people save too much during that period? I don’t know what a credit bubble means. I don’t even know what a bubble means. These words have become popular. I don’t think they have any meaning.
I guess most people would define a bubble as an extended period during which asset prices depart quite significantly from economic fundamentals.
-The interviewer does not take the time to discuss what they might mean by a credit bubble -- they stick to terms thrown around in the popular media, such as "bubble", and completely ignore Fama's challenge to them of defining and discussing what a credit bubble is.
Let me get this straight, because I don’t want to misrepresent you. Your view is that in 2007 there was an economic recession coming on, for whatever reason, which was then reflected in the financial system in the form of lower asset prices?
Yeah. What was really unusual was the worldwide fall in real estate prices.
Back to the efficient markets hypothesis. You said earlier that it comes out of this episode pretty well. Others say the market may be good at pricing in a relative sense—one stock versus another—but it is very bad at setting absolute prices, the level of the market as a whole. What do you say to that?
People say that. I don’t know what the basis of it is. If they know, they should be rich men. What better way to make money than to know exactly about the absolute level of prices.
So you still think that the market is highly efficient at the overall level too?
Yes. And if it isn’t, it’s going to be impossible to tell.
For the layman, people who don’t know much about economic theory, is that the fundamental insight of the efficient market hypothesis—that you can’t beat the market?
Right—that’s the practical insight. No matter what research gets done, that one always looks good.
I know the business school has a lot of diversity, but is that also true of the university economics department?
Sure. John List is over there. He’s a behavioral economist. Steve Levitt is a very unusual type of economist. His brand of economics, which is an extension of Gary’s is taking over microeconomics.
I spoke to Becker. His view is that what remains distinctive about Chicago is its degree of skepticism toward the government.
When all this (the financial crisis) started, I joined the debate. Then I stepped back and said, I’m really not comfortable with my insights into what the best way of proceeding is. Let me sit back and listen to people. So I listened to all the experts, local and otherwise. After a while, I came to the conclusion that I don’t know what the best thing to do it, and I don’t think they do either. (Laughs) I don’t think there is a good prescription. So I went back and started doing my own research.Couldn’t we just ban further bailouts, passing a constitutional amendment if necessary? That would be in line with your views, wouldn’t it?
Right, but is that credible? It’s very difficult to explain how A.I.G. issued all the credit default swaps it issued if people didn’t think the government was going to step in and bail them out. Government pledged, in any case, have little credibility. But that one—I think it’s pretty sure that we they couldn’t live up to it.
Monday, January 11, 2010
comparing welfare state institutions
The provision by public and private institutions of benefits to, and financial contributions targeted at, households and individuals in order to provide support during circumstances which adversely affect their welfare, provided that the provision of the benefits and financial contributions constitutes neither a direct payment for a particular good or service nor an individual contract or transfer.
Sunday, January 10, 2010
reflections on the modern state
Edmund Burke – who in his Reflections on the Revolution in France contrasted the sweet reasonableness of 1688 with the violent chaos of 1789 – helped establish the template by which the Glorious Revolution would be judged: a peaceable affair, even by English standards. Later historians buttressed Burke’s contention that what really happened in 1688 was really no revolution at all. The locus classicus of a Glorious Unrevolution was put forth by Thomas Babington Macaulay: “To us who have lived in the year 1848,” he wrote in his History of England, “it may seem almost an abuse of terms to call a proceeding, conducted with so much deliberation, with so much sobriety, and with such minute attention to prescriptive etiquette, by the terrible name of revolution.”
Yet this apparently uneventful transfer of power concealed profound alterations in the relationship between the English crown and its subjects....
Thursday, January 7, 2010
absolute victory
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
thought of the day - murakami on writing
As I suspect is true of many who write for a living, as I write I think about all sorts of things. I don't necessarily write down what I'm thinking; it's just that as I write I think about things. As I write, I arrange my thoughts. And rewriting and revising takes my thinking down even deeper paths. No matter how much I write, though, I never reach a conclusion. And no matter how much I rewrite, I never reach the destination. Even after decades of writing, the same still holds true. All I do is present a few hypotheses or paraphrase the issue. Or find an analogy between the structure of the problem and something else. (120)
Sunday, January 3, 2010
why study traditional economic institutions? part III of a week-long series
Friday, January 1, 2010
why study traditional economic institutions? part II of a week-long series
The historical and contemporary existence (both of which need to be proved) of moral economies -- more specifically, institutions of democratic governance of the economic sphere-- work against capitalist institutions that have aimed, since day 1, to separate the spheres of politics and economy.